Saturday June 3
8.15pm: Pollsters have defended the varied nature of their
results.
Ben
Lauderdale, who helped to create YouGov's projection system, said: “None of us
are stupid, none of us are crazy, we all may be wrong in the end or some of us
may be wrong, but it's just a difficult problem.
“The
question is what is the alternative? It's not clear there is one.”
He
explained the way polls utilised expected voter turnout resulted in
discrepancies across different companies.
7.00pm: A poll by ComRes has given the Tories a 12 point lead,
albeit showing more people believe Jeremy Corbyn's policies would better suit
"people like me and my family".
4.45pm: The Tory lead has been cut to just seven points, according
to the latest opinion poll from Opinium.
The
pollster carried out its survey between May 30 and May 31, revealing voting
intention just five days ahead of the election.
More
polls from YouGov, ComRes, ORB and Survation are expected to be released this
evening.
4.35pm: A poll by Ipsos MORI puts the Tories five points ahead of
Labour, but under a separate result for “all giving a voter intention”, it
placed Labour three points ahead.
Labour
scored 43 per cent compared to the Tories at 40 per cent.
The
figure was achieved by removing any “do not knows” and those who are
historically unlikely to vote – elderly voters and under 35-year-olds for
example.
The
poll was based on a representative sample of 1,046 adults.
4pm: An ICM poll reveals that Jeremy Corbyn has the backing of 68
per cent of voters aged 18 to 24-years-old.
Sixteen
per cent of them pledged their support to the Conservatives, while only eight
per cent support the Liberal Democrats.
Half
of those surveyed also said Mr Corbyn has what is needed to Prime Minister –
compared to Theresa May’s 28 per cent.
Four
out of 10 admitted that living in a marginal constituency was a driving factor
in their decision to vote. Sixty-three per cent of those surveyed, are
“absolutely certain” they will vote on June 8.
3.40pm: YouGov’s latest poll of voting intentions in Wales, shows an
overwhelming majority of votes for Labour.
The
Labour Party stands 11 points ahead of the Conservatives at 46 per cent – a two
point growth on the last poll.
The
Tories are up by one point at 35 per cent. Both Plaid Cymru and the Liberal
Democrats have a lost a point each.
Ukip
are sitting at an unchanged five per cent.
YOUGOV
Latest polls from YouGov
predict the Tories will head for a hung parliament
3.20pm: Today’s YouGov polls are estimating the Tories will only
secure 308 seats in the election – an 18 seat shortfall of a majority
government.
Labour
are estimated to take 261 seats, up from 257 on Friday, increasing the
possibility of a hung parliament
Yesterday’s
figures from YouGov suggested that the Conservatives would win 313 seats in
Westminster.
3pm: Jeremy Corbyn has told Theresa May to unveil her “dementia
tax” policy ahead of the general election.
“It
is staggering that just six days from polling day millions of pensioners still
don’t know what’s in store for them if they are unlucky enough to get dementia
or any other condition that needs care in the home,” mr Corbyn said today.
“The
dementia tax is itself unfair but what’s made matters even worse is the way
Theresa May announced a cap and then failed to say how much it would be.
“Alongside
this, older people face the additional uncertainty of not knowing who will be
eligible for a Winter Fuel Payment. The introduction of a means test could mean
more than ten million people losing the payment.
11.05am: Conservative Cabinet Minster Michael Fallon has told
the Daily Telegraph that high earners would be exempt from Tax hikes under Tory
plans.
Asked
if high earnes could vote for the Tories without risk of increasing their
taxes, Sir Michael said: “Yes.
“You've
seen our record. We're not in the business of punishing people for getting on,
on the contrary we want people to keep more of their earnings.
"The
only way they can be sure their taxes won't rise is to vote Conservative.”
GETTY
General election polls: All the
latest election polls before June 8
Election 2017 LIVE
Wed, May 31, 2017
Britain heads to the
polls on June 8 for a snap general election. LIVE images as the campaign
unfolds across the UK.
|
|
|
|
PLAY SLIDESHOW
1 of 26
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
9.20am: YouGov is estimating the Tories could hold onto 313 seats
on June 8 – if they receive a 42 per cent share of the vote.
At 38 per cent, Labour would end
with 257 seats. The Liberal Democrats, which are predicted to gain 10 per cent
of the votes would only gain one seat in Parliament for a total of 10.
Ukip
are predicted to stay out of parliament, with only three per cent of the vote
and no seat gains.
5am: Nigel Farage will return to South Thanet today to campaign
in support of Ukip candidate Stuart Piper.
12am: Boris Johnson spoke on BBC'S Newnight and defended
Theresa May's decision not to join EU leaders who had signed a joint statement
urging allies to speed up effort to combat climate change after Donald Trump
decided to withdraw the US from the Paris Accord.
The
Foreign Sectretary said: "The Prime Minister does not have to tag along
with a bunch of other signatories to sign (a joint letter).
“She
was on the phone, talking to the American President, in a way the other EU
leaders were not. We are going to work with the Americans on climate change.”
(Source:
http://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/812641/Election-polls-2017-UK-news-latest-updates-general-election-labour-conservatives)
No comments:
Post a Comment